Forecasting electrical energy needs PT. PLN (Persero) UP3 Sukabumi Uses Analytical, Econometrics, and Trends Methods
Massus Subekti (a*), Imam Arif Rahardjo (b), Desitha Rosyanti (c)

a), b), c) Electrical Engineering Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Negeri Jakarta
Jalan Rawamangun Muka, Jakarta 13220, Indonesia
* Correspondence : masus[at]unj.ac.id

Abstract

This research was conducted to determine the electrical energy needs of PT. PLN (Persero) UP3 Sukabumi uses analytical methods, econometrics and trends in 2019-2029. This research uses a combined method which is a method compiled by combining several models such as econometrics, analysis, and trends with a sectoral approach which is an approach by grouping electricity consumers into four sectors, namely the household, commercial, public, and industrial sectors. The results showed that the population rate rose 0.36% per year, the GRDP growth rate rose 6.26%; the number of electricity customers in the household sector rose 5.26% per year, the number of commercial electricity customers rose by 13.96% per year, the number of public sector electricity customers rose 7.58% per year, and the number of industrial sector electricity customers rose 3.53 % per year. it can be concluded that over the next 10 years the electricity demand will increase by 3,080.83 Gwh with an average growth of 10.69% per year.

Keywords: PT. PLN (Persero) UP3 Sukabumi, Electricity Needs, Forecast, Analytical, Econometrics, and Trends

Topic: Electrical Engineering